Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 95.420663 106.027445 116.954600 129.026720 141.963493 155.385113 170.336208
2025-03-30 78.470876 94.165169 111.190127 130.914247 153.018567 176.912419 204.577173
2025-04-06 64.370403 83.237481 104.733651 130.744656 161.070300 195.022948 235.616091
2025-04-13 53.730176 74.658146 99.630725 131.067361 169.018429 212.807030 266.583904
2025-04-20 47.042011 69.802217 98.109223 134.987127 180.835604 235.064837 303.122456
2025-04-27 41.204158 65.160087 96.151519 137.827761 191.034844 255.362719 337.628112
2025-05-04 36.892821 61.910668 95.464858 141.881753 202.528649 277.241617 374.318199
2025-05-11 32.815100 58.421247 93.998726 144.561481 212.071809 296.691249 408.238994
2025-05-18 26.786196 51.296126 86.837172 138.981006 210.364326 301.612081 423.858652
2025-05-25 22.564041 46.323186 82.178134 136.324680 212.114979 310.673140 444.569093
2025-06-01 19.589449 42.925039 79.455658 136.068756 216.873613 323.525868 470.159252
2025-06-08 17.414175 40.561372 78.039357 137.487054 223.813824 339.240806 499.584231
2025-06-15 16.235802 39.859197 79.215982 142.860547 236.594953 363.248215 540.649461
2025-06-22 14.714468 38.330173 78.938865 146.000401 246.272786 383.277234 576.858827
2025-06-29 12.873047 35.916913 76.993210 146.429198 251.987875 397.967029 606.174165
2025-07-06 11.300773 33.786984 75.316328 147.116823 258.002880 413.098671 636.251525
2025-07-13 10.471867 33.085053 76.025696 151.561858 269.618729 436.157378 677.342704
2025-07-20 9.548533 32.027383 75.995411 154.752481 279.373955 456.717238 715.265318
2025-07-27 8.883165 31.448152 76.759014 159.213906 291.084999 480.155067 757.365883
2025-08-03 8.095381 30.445370 76.640767 162.155940 300.492398 500.417659 795.306538
2025-08-10 6.434325 26.912039 71.387761 156.113373 295.781016 500.273580 804.847138
2025-08-17 5.322023 24.529991 68.120000 153.236051 295.807605 506.840335 823.706214
2025-08-24 4.578633 22.998912 66.411790 152.963090 299.872942 519.283517 850.909044